College football · Week 6 · updated Oct 7, 4:29 PM ET
Every game, predicted.
Two models, one slate.
Beaver Model projects every score, spread and total from play-by-play data, then shows where it disagrees with Vegas. Sam’s model runs alongside it as a second opinion, graded the same way.
★Beaver’s Pick☆Sam’s Pick
76%
winners picked, NCAAF since 2017
12.7
pt average miss (Vegas 12.2)
Daily
updates in season
Biggest Vegas gaps this week
All college football games →NCAAF · SAT 7:30 PM10.0 PTS
★ Over 51.5
Georgia at Alabama
Beaver61.5 totalVegas51.5
☆Sam agrees
NCAAF · SAT 7:00 PM9.0 PTS
★ UNLV +3
North Dakota State at UNLV
BeaverUNLV by 6.0VegasNDSU −3
☆Sam agrees
NCAAF · SAT 12:00 PM8.9 PTS
★ UCF +10.5
UCF at Oklahoma State
BeaverOklahoma State by 1.6VegasOklahoma State −10.5
☆Sam has Oklahoma State −10.5
NCAAF · FRI 10:15 PM7.9 PTS
★ Over 46.5
Iowa State at BYU
Beaver54.4 totalVegas46.5
☆Sam agrees
NCAAF · FRI 9:00 PM7.6 PTS
★ Iowa +3.5
Iowa at Washington
BeaverIowa by 4.1VegasWashington −3.5
☆Sam agrees
A gap means the model disagrees with Vegas, not that it is right. 52.4% wins break even at standard odds.
Big games
Projected score · Beaver and SamSat 3:30 PMVegas Oregon −11.5 · 58.5
BEAVER SAM WIN %
21UCLA
223318%
13Oregon
373282%Oregon −11.5Over 58.5UCLA +11.5Over 58.5
Sat 3:30 PMVegas Texas −7.5 · 39.5
BEAVER SAM WIN %
1Texas
242679%
Oklahoma
121621%Texas −7.5Under 39.5Texas −7.5Over 39.5
Sat 7:30 PMVegas Alabama −1.5 · 51.5
BEAVER SAM WIN %
2Georgia
303247%
6Alabama
313553%Georgia +1.5Over 51.5Alabama −1.5Over 51.5
Head to head
Beaver vs. Sam
Against the spread on the same 1 games: Beaver 0-1, Sam 1-0.
37
split this week
21
same side
Sports
NCAAFLIVE
Week 6 · 58 games
Beaver’s Picks this season: 195-191-5 against the spread (51%)
NFLCOMING SOON
Next sport to launch.
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NBACOMING SOON
Planned after NFL.
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NCAABCOMING SOON
Planned.
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MLBCOMING SOON
Planned for the offseason build.
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