NFL · coming soon
NFL is on the way.
Every NFL game projected from play-by-play efficiency, compared with the Vegas spread and total.
Next sport to launch
Live now
College Football
Every FBS game this week, with Beaver’s and Sam’s picks against the Vegas line.
See this week’s games →What you’ll get
Every game projected
A projected score, spread, total and win chance for each game, updated daily in season.
★ Beaver’s Pick
The side and total the model likes against the Vegas line, with how often picks like it have won.
A public track record
Every pick graded once the game is final, plus a backtest of past seasons.
My Slip
Add picks from any sport to one slip and see the parlay math.
What the model will weigh
- Offense and defense EPA per play, adjusted for opponents
- Quarterback play and changes at QB
- Rest days, travel and short weeks
- Home field and weather
Data: nflverse play-by-play and schedules. Like college football, it will only use information available before kickoff.