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6
Alabama
SEC · 2026
5-0
Record
10.6-1.4
Projected regular season
97%
Playoff chance
+28.9
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM
vs Georgia
53% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
East Carolina
W
48-10
−23.3
−28.5
Sep 12
at
Kentucky
W
45-17
−16.3
−9.5
Sep 19
vs
Florida State
W
50-36
−28.9
−18.5
Sep 26
vs
South Carolina
W
49-18
−18.6
−12.5
Oct 3
at
17
Mississippi State
W
56-23
−10.5
−5.5
Oct 10
vs
2
Georgia
53%
−1.4
−1.5
Oct 17
at
15
Tennessee
72%
−9.3
−1.5
Oct 24
vs
Texas A&M
83%
−15.7
−2.5
Nov 7
at
10
LSU
62%
−5.1
+3.5
Nov 14
at
Vanderbilt
90%
−21
–
Nov 21
vs
Chattanooga
100%
−58.6
–
Nov 28
vs
Auburn
93%
−23.9
−10
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.29
−0.09
+0.11
+0.31
+0.52
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.30
Net · 2: +0.32
Net · 3: +0.39
Net · 4: +0.38
Net · 5: +0.37
Net · 6: +0.46
Net · 7: +0.46
Net · 8: +0.46
Net · 9: +0.46
Net · 10: +0.46
Net · 11: +0.46
Net · 12: +0.46
Net · 13: +0.46
Net · 15: +0.46
Offense · 1: +0.17
Offense · 2: +0.18
Offense · 3: +0.15
Offense · 4: +0.19
Offense · 5: +0.21
Offense · 6: +0.24
Offense · 7: +0.24
Offense · 8: +0.24
Offense · 9: +0.24
Offense · 10: +0.24
Offense · 11: +0.24
Offense · 12: +0.24
Offense · 13: +0.24
Offense · 15: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.22
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1652
1672
1693
1714
1734
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1657
Elo · Sep 12: 1680
Elo · Sep 19: 1690
Elo · Sep 26: 1703
Elo · Oct 3: 1729
Season to date
Record
5-0
Conference
3-0
Home
3-0
Away
2-0
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
5-0
Points for / against
49.6 / 20.8
Avg margin
+28.8