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Baylor
Big 12 · 2026
4-1
Record
7.6-4.4
Projected regular season
3%
Playoff chance
+9.5
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 7:00 PM
vs TCU
70% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Auburn
L
16-17
+10.3
+6.5
Sep 12
vs
Prairie View A&M
W
44-3
−35.9
−37.5
Sep 19
vs
Louisiana Tech
W
36-19
−13.8
−20.5
Sep 26
vs
Colorado
W
23-13
−11.9
−8.5
Oct 3
at
Arizona State
W
55-19
+5.7
+3.5
Oct 17
vs
TCU
70%
−8.2
–
Oct 24
at
Kansas
51%
−0.4
–
Oct 30
at
UCF
52%
−0.7
–
Nov 7
vs
Iowa State
80%
−13.7
–
Nov 14
at
8
BYU
28%
+9.5
–
Nov 21
vs
11
Texas Tech
40%
+4.1
–
Nov 28
at
22
Houston
36%
+6
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.07
−0.03
+0.02
+0.06
+0.10
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.00
Net · 2: +0.03
Net · 3: +0.07
Net · 4: +0.03
Net · 5: +0.04
Net · 6: +0.09
Net · 7: +0.09
Net · 8: +0.09
Net · 9: +0.09
Net · 10: +0.09
Net · 11: +0.09
Net · 12: +0.09
Net · 13: +0.09
Net · 15: +0.09
Offense · 1: +0.03
Offense · 2: +0.01
Offense · 3: +0.02
Offense · 4: +0.00
Offense · 5: −0.02
Offense · 6: +0.05
Offense · 7: +0.05
Offense · 8: +0.05
Offense · 9: +0.05
Offense · 10: +0.05
Offense · 11: +0.05
Offense · 12: +0.05
Offense · 13: +0.05
Offense · 15: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.03
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1471
1500
1528
1557
1585
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1479
Elo · Sep 12: 1495
Elo · Sep 19: 1518
Elo · Sep 26: 1533
Elo · Oct 3: 1578
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
2-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-0
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
34.8 / 14.2
Avg margin
+20.6