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23
Boise State
Pac-12 · 2026
4-1
Record
8.7-2.3
Projected regular season
38%
Playoff chance
+10.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 10:30 PM
at Fresno State
68% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
13
Oregon
L
27-34
+27.5
+24.5
Sep 12
vs
Memphis
W
38-20
−11
−9.5
Sep 19
vs
South Dakota
W
38-24
−32.5
−28.5
Sep 26
at
Western Michigan
W
32-7
+0.6
−8.5
Oct 3
vs
Utah State
W
37-18
−20.1
−19.5
Oct 10
at
Fresno State
68%
−7.4
−6.5
Oct 24
at
Washington State
81%
−14.3
–
Oct 31
vs
Texas State
76%
−11.8
–
Nov 7
at
Colorado State
86%
−17.7
–
Nov 14
vs
Oregon State
74%
−10.6
–
Nov 21
vs
San Diego State
89%
−19.5
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.05
−0.00
+0.05
+0.09
+0.14
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.04
Net · 2: +0.05
Net · 3: +0.10
Net · 4: +0.05
Net · 5: +0.12
Net · 6: +0.13
Net · 7: +0.13
Net · 8: +0.13
Net · 9: +0.13
Net · 10: +0.13
Net · 11: +0.13
Net · 12: +0.13
Net · 13: +0.13
Net · 15: +0.13
Offense · 1: −0.01
Offense · 2: +0.03
Offense · 3: +0.09
Offense · 4: +0.05
Offense · 5: +0.09
Offense · 6: +0.10
Offense · 7: +0.10
Offense · 8: +0.10
Offense · 9: +0.10
Offense · 10: +0.10
Offense · 11: +0.10
Offense · 12: +0.10
Offense · 13: +0.10
Offense · 15: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.03
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1542
1568
1593
1618
1644
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1549
Elo · Sep 12: 1577
Elo · Sep 19: 1589
Elo · Sep 26: 1625
Elo · Oct 3: 1637
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
34.4 / 20.6
Avg margin
+13.8