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California
ACC · 2026
2-3
Record
4.1-7.9
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−6.2
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
vs Virginia Tech
41% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
21
UCLA
L
24-45
−2.2
+2.5
Sep 12
at
Syracuse
W
21-18
+18.1
+4
Sep 19
vs
Wagner
W
49-7
−50.9
−58.5
Sep 25
vs
Clemson
L
10-24
+4.5
+2.5
Oct 3
at
UNLV
L
31-39
+4.2
+1.5
Oct 10
vs
Virginia Tech
41%
+3.7
+10
Oct 17
vs
Wake Forest
26%
+10.5
–
Oct 24
at
24
SMU
13%
+18.6
–
Oct 31
at
NC State
16%
+16.3
–
Nov 14
at
Virginia
18%
+14.3
–
Nov 21
vs
Stanford
68%
−7.6
–
Nov 28
vs
25
Pittsburgh
23%
+11.8
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.25
−0.15
−0.05
+0.06
+0.16
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.09
Net · 2: −0.23
Net · 3: −0.14
Net · 4: −0.14
Net · 5: −0.17
Net · 6: −0.19
Net · 7: −0.19
Net · 8: −0.19
Net · 9: −0.19
Net · 10: −0.19
Net · 11: −0.19
Net · 12: −0.19
Net · 13: −0.19
Net · 15: −0.19
Offense · 1: −0.04
Offense · 2: −0.09
Offense · 3: −0.09
Offense · 4: −0.07
Offense · 5: −0.09
Offense · 6: −0.11
Offense · 7: −0.11
Offense · 8: −0.11
Offense · 9: −0.11
Offense · 10: −0.11
Offense · 11: −0.11
Offense · 12: −0.11
Offense · 13: −0.11
Offense · 15: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.08
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1428
1438
1448
1457
1467
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 25
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1440
Elo · Sep 12: 1456
Elo · Sep 19: 1464
Elo · Sep 25: 1443
Elo · Oct 3: 1431
Season to date
Record
2-3
Conference
1-1
Home
1-2
Away
1-1
Against the spread
1-4
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
27.0 / 26.6
Avg margin
+0.4