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East Carolina
American Athletic · 2026
2-2
Record
7.1-4.9
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−1.5
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 4:00 PM
vs Rice
82% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
6
Alabama
L
10-48
+23.3
+28.5
Sep 12
vs
App State
L
24-27
−8.6
−6.5
Sep 19
at
Old Dominion
W
20-17
−1.4
+2.5
Sep 26
vs
North Carolina Central
W
42-9
−43.5
−37.5
Oct 10
vs
Rice
82%
−14.6
−10
Oct 15
at
UAB
64%
−5.7
–
Oct 22
at
Memphis
36%
+6
–
Oct 31
vs
Temple
67%
−7
–
Nov 6
vs
South Florida
55%
−2
–
Nov 14
at
Charlotte
95%
−25.2
–
Nov 21
at
Army
46%
+1.5
–
Nov 27
vs
Florida Atlantic
67%
−7
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.08
−0.04
+0.01
+0.05
+0.09
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.02
Net · 2: −0.05
Net · 3: −0.06
Net · 4: −0.07
Net · 5: −0.02
Net · 6: −0.02
Net · 7: −0.02
Net · 8: −0.02
Net · 9: −0.02
Net · 10: −0.02
Net · 11: −0.02
Net · 12: −0.02
Net · 13: −0.02
Net · 15: −0.02
Offense · 1: −0.00
Offense · 2: −0.01
Offense · 3: +0.02
Offense · 4: −0.05
Offense · 5: −0.02
Offense · 6: −0.01
Offense · 7: −0.01
Offense · 8: −0.01
Offense · 9: −0.01
Offense · 10: −0.01
Offense · 11: −0.01
Offense · 12: −0.01
Offense · 13: −0.01
Offense · 15: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.01
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1513
1521
1529
1536
1544
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Elo · Sep 5: 1535
Elo · Sep 12: 1515
Elo · Sep 19: 1533
Elo · Sep 26: 1542
Season to date
Record
2-2
Conference
0-0
Home
1-1
Away
1-1
Against the spread
1-3
Over/under
1-3
Points for / against
24.0 / 25.2
Avg margin
-1.2