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Florida Atlantic
American Athletic · 2026
4-1
Record
6.8-5.2
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−5.6
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM
at Army
36% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
16
Florida
L
21-66
+23.4
+26.5
Sep 12
vs
Navy
W
38-30
+2.3
+4.5
Sep 19
vs
Florida International
W
16-10
+0.5
−5.5
Sep 26
at
UL Monroe
W
45-17
−7
−11.5
Oct 3
vs
Texas Southern
W
66-10
−38.8
−47.5
Oct 17
at
Army
36%
+5.9
–
Oct 24
vs
Rice
72%
−9.5
–
Oct 29
at
North Texas
24%
+12
–
Nov 5
vs
UTSA
36%
+5.9
–
Nov 14
at
Tulsa
40%
+4.2
–
Nov 21
vs
South Florida
40%
+4
–
Nov 27
at
East Carolina
33%
+7
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.28
−0.15
−0.02
+0.10
+0.23
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.19
Net · 2: −0.24
Net · 3: −0.20
Net · 4: −0.18
Net · 5: −0.21
Net · 6: −0.20
Net · 7: −0.20
Net · 8: −0.20
Net · 9: −0.20
Net · 10: −0.20
Net · 11: −0.20
Net · 12: −0.20
Net · 13: −0.20
Net · 15: −0.20
Offense · 1: −0.06
Offense · 2: −0.05
Offense · 3: −0.04
Offense · 4: −0.05
Offense · 5: −0.04
Offense · 6: −0.00
Offense · 7: −0.00
Offense · 8: −0.00
Offense · 9: −0.00
Offense · 10: −0.00
Offense · 11: −0.00
Offense · 12: −0.00
Offense · 13: −0.00
Offense · 15: −0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.19
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1384
1409
1435
1460
1485
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1391
Elo · Sep 12: 1425
Elo · Sep 19: 1444
Elo · Sep 26: 1469
Elo · Oct 3: 1478
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
37.2 / 26.6
Avg margin
+10.6