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› Fresno State
Fresno State
Pac-12 · 2026
4-1
Record
7.0-4.0
Projected regular season
1%
Playoff chance
−1.3
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 10:30 PM
vs Boise State
31% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 4
at
19
USC
L
0-39
+22.6
+21.5
Sep 12
vs
Sacramento State
W
49-3
−15.8
−17.5
Sep 19
at
San José State
W
26-10
−8.3
−4
Sep 26
vs
Rice
W
38-24
−12.5
−12.5
Oct 3
at
Washington State
W
26-6
+1.3
+2.5
Oct 10
vs
23
Boise State
31%
+8
+6.5
Oct 17
at
San Diego State
57%
−2.9
–
Oct 31
vs
Oregon State
45%
+2.1
–
Nov 7
at
Utah State
57%
−2.8
–
Nov 14
at
Texas State
36%
+5.8
–
Nov 21
vs
Colorado State
74%
−10.2
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.14
−0.10
−0.06
−0.01
+0.03
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.08
Net · 2: −0.13
Net · 3: −0.10
Net · 4: −0.06
Net · 5: −0.10
Net · 6: −0.01
Net · 7: −0.01
Net · 8: −0.01
Net · 9: −0.01
Net · 10: −0.01
Net · 11: −0.01
Net · 12: −0.01
Net · 13: −0.01
Net · 15: −0.01
Offense · 1: −0.07
Offense · 2: −0.12
Offense · 3: −0.10
Offense · 4: −0.10
Offense · 5: −0.09
Offense · 6: −0.06
Offense · 7: −0.07
Offense · 8: −0.07
Offense · 9: −0.07
Offense · 10: −0.07
Offense · 11: −0.07
Offense · 12: −0.07
Offense · 13: −0.07
Offense · 15: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.05
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1508
1529
1551
1573
1594
Sep 4
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 4: 1514
Elo · Sep 12: 1526
Elo · Sep 19: 1550
Elo · Sep 26: 1562
Elo · Oct 3: 1588
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
2-0
Away
2-1
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
27.8 / 16.4
Avg margin
+11.4