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Illinois State
MVFC · 2026
1-0
Record
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 12
at
Northern Illinois
W
28-24
+4
−2.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.49
−0.30
−0.10
+0.09
+0.28
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.44
Net · 2: −0.35
Net · 3: −0.32
Net · 4: −0.26
Net · 5: −0.38
Net · 6: −0.43
Net · 7: −0.43
Net · 8: −0.43
Net · 9: −0.43
Net · 10: −0.43
Net · 11: −0.43
Net · 12: −0.43
Net · 13: −0.43
Net · 15: −0.43
Offense · 1: −0.21
Offense · 2: −0.16
Offense · 3: −0.18
Offense · 4: −0.15
Offense · 5: −0.20
Offense · 6: −0.23
Offense · 7: −0.23
Offense · 8: −0.23
Offense · 9: −0.23
Offense · 10: −0.23
Offense · 11: −0.23
Offense · 12: −0.23
Offense · 13: −0.23
Offense · 15: −0.23
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.23
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.19
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1364
1384
1404
1423
1443
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Aug 29: 1391
Elo · Sep 5: 1411
Elo · Sep 12: 1429
Elo · Sep 19: 1438
Elo · Sep 26: 1404
Elo · Oct 3: 1369
Season to date
Record
1-0
Conference
0-0
Home
0-0
Away
1-0
Against the spread
1-0
Over/under
1-0
Points for / against
28.0 / 24.0
Avg margin
+4.0