NCAAF › Teams › Liberty

Liberty

Conference USA · 2026
4-1
Record
9.6-2.4
Projected regular season
8%
Playoff chance
+0.6
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextThu, Oct 8, 7:00 PMvs Sam Houston77% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Sep 5
atJames Madison
L13-20+10.1+6
Sep 12
vsGardner-Webb
W24-23−30.1−28.5
Sep 19
vsBall State
W51-15−13.2−14.5
Sep 24
atCoastal Carolina
W34-17+0.1−2.5
Oct 2
atDelaware
W30-14−7.1−7
Oct 8
vsSam Houston
77%−12−13.5
Oct 22
atKennesaw State
73%−9.6–
Oct 31
vsFlorida International
80%−13.4–
Nov 7
atNew Mexico State
77%−11.9–
Nov 14
vsMiddle Tennessee
92%−22.4–
Nov 21
vsWestern Kentucky
82%−14.7–
Nov 28
atMissouri State
81%−14.3–

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.35−0.22−0.09+0.04+0.18Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: −0.18Net · 2: −0.21Net · 3: −0.32Net · 4: −0.23Net · 5: −0.13Net · 6: −0.10Net · 7: −0.10Net · 8: −0.10Net · 9: −0.10Net · 10: −0.10Net · 11: −0.10Net · 12: −0.10Net · 13: −0.10Net · 15: −0.10Offense · 1: −0.06Offense · 2: −0.07Offense · 3: −0.19Offense · 4: −0.10Offense · 5: −0.06Offense · 6: −0.05Offense · 7: −0.05Offense · 8: −0.05Offense · 9: −0.05Offense · 10: −0.05Offense · 11: −0.05Offense · 12: −0.05Offense · 13: −0.05Offense · 15: −0.05Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.12Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.14Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.13Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.13Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.07Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.05
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
14301454147915031528Sep 5Sep 12Sep 19Sep 24Oct 2Elo · Sep 5: 1437Elo · Sep 12: 1439Elo · Sep 19: 1465Elo · Sep 24: 1494Elo · Oct 2: 1521

Season to date

Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
2-0
Away
2-1
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
30.4 / 17.8
Avg margin
+12.6