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Memphis
American Athletic · 2026
4-1
Record
8.6-3.4
Projected regular season
3%
Playoff chance
+1.5
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 7:00 PM
vs UAB
84% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Aug 29
at
UNLV
W
27-21
+3.4
+4.5
Sep 5
vs
Arkansas State
W
42-24
−10.5
−10.5
Sep 12
at
23
Boise State
L
20-38
+11
+9.5
Sep 19
vs
UT Martin
W
45-21
−39.4
−33.5
Oct 3
at
Charlotte
W
59-8
−21.8
−18.5
Oct 10
vs
UAB
84%
−15.8
−14
Oct 16
at
Tulane
56%
−2.4
–
Oct 22
vs
East Carolina
64%
−6
–
Oct 31
vs
Army
66%
−6.7
–
Nov 12
at
South Florida
52%
−0.6
–
Nov 21
at
Navy
63%
−5.3
–
Nov 27
vs
Temple
73%
−10
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.15
−0.07
+0.01
+0.09
+0.17
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.07
Net · 2: +0.03
Net · 3: −0.06
Net · 4: −0.13
Net · 5: −0.09
Net · 6: −0.08
Net · 7: −0.08
Net · 8: −0.08
Net · 9: −0.08
Net · 10: −0.08
Net · 11: −0.08
Net · 12: −0.08
Net · 13: −0.08
Net · 15: −0.08
Offense · 1: −0.01
Offense · 2: +0.07
Offense · 3: +0.05
Offense · 4: +0.02
Offense · 5: +0.04
Offense · 6: +0.05
Offense · 7: +0.05
Offense · 8: +0.05
Offense · 9: +0.05
Offense · 10: +0.05
Offense · 11: +0.05
Offense · 12: +0.05
Offense · 13: +0.05
Offense · 15: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.13
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1545
1553
1561
1569
1577
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Oct 3
Elo · Aug 29: 1557
Elo · Sep 5: 1575
Elo · Sep 12: 1548
Elo · Sep 19: 1555
Elo · Oct 3: 1571
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
2-0
Away
2-1
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
38.6 / 22.4
Avg margin
+16.2