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Minnesota
Big Ten · 2026
4-1
Record
6.7-5.3
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
+4.9
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 8:00 PM
at Purdue
61% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 3
vs
Eastern Illinois
W
59-7
−43.3
−42.5
Sep 12
vs
17
Mississippi State
L
13-38
−4.9
+1.5
Sep 19
vs
Akron
W
41-7
−12
−22.5
Sep 26
at
Washington
W
27-24
+3.5
+12.5
Oct 3
vs
Michigan
W
20-14
+4.1
+6.5
Oct 10
at
Purdue
61%
−4.3
−2.5
Oct 24
vs
20
Iowa
35%
+6
–
Oct 31
at
7
Indiana
14%
+17.2
–
Nov 7
vs
21
UCLA
40%
+4.1
–
Nov 14
at
Penn State
43%
+2.7
–
Nov 21
vs
Northwestern
35%
+6
–
Nov 27
at
Wisconsin
38%
+4.8
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.13
−0.07
−0.02
+0.04
+0.09
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.02
Net · 2: +0.04
Net · 3: −0.11
Net · 4: −0.11
Net · 5: −0.08
Net · 6: −0.08
Net · 7: −0.08
Net · 8: −0.08
Net · 9: −0.08
Net · 10: −0.08
Net · 11: −0.08
Net · 12: −0.08
Net · 13: −0.08
Net · 15: −0.08
Offense · 1: +0.01
Offense · 2: +0.04
Offense · 3: −0.04
Offense · 4: −0.07
Offense · 5: −0.06
Offense · 6: −0.10
Offense · 7: −0.10
Offense · 8: −0.10
Offense · 9: −0.10
Offense · 10: −0.10
Offense · 11: −0.10
Offense · 12: −0.10
Offense · 13: −0.10
Offense · 15: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.02
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1504
1522
1540
1559
1577
Sep 3
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 3: 1556
Elo · Sep 12: 1509
Elo · Sep 19: 1530
Elo · Sep 26: 1551
Elo · Oct 3: 1572
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
2-0
Home
3-1
Away
1-0
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
32.0 / 18.0
Avg margin
+14.0