BEAVER
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Nevada
Mountain West · 2026
1-3
Record
4.0-8.0
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−12.7
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 7:00 PM
at UTEP
71% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Western Kentucky
W
49-14
+4.4
+1.5
Sep 12
vs
Montana State
L
7-20
−7.6
+4.5
Sep 19
at
Middle Tennessee
L
20-27
−2.5
−3.5
Sep 26
vs
Air Force
L
33-36
−2.5
+4.5
Oct 10
at
UTEP
71%
−8.6
−9.5
Oct 17
at
North Dakota State
21%
+12.8
–
Oct 24
vs
San José State
58%
−3.4
–
Oct 31
at
21
UCLA
3%
+31.5
–
Nov 6
vs
New Mexico
15%
+16.6
–
Nov 14
at
Northern Illinois
49%
+0.4
–
Nov 21
vs
Hawai'i
65%
−6.2
–
Nov 28
at
UNLV
24%
+11.1
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.39
−0.24
−0.08
+0.07
+0.23
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.28
Net · 2: −0.14
Net · 3: −0.29
Net · 4: −0.33
Net · 5: −0.32
Net · 6: −0.35
Net · 7: −0.35
Net · 8: −0.35
Net · 9: −0.35
Net · 10: −0.35
Net · 11: −0.35
Net · 12: −0.35
Net · 13: −0.35
Net · 15: −0.35
Offense · 1: −0.15
Offense · 2: −0.04
Offense · 3: −0.16
Offense · 4: −0.19
Offense · 5: −0.18
Offense · 6: −0.16
Offense · 7: −0.16
Offense · 8: −0.16
Offense · 9: −0.16
Offense · 10: −0.16
Offense · 11: −0.16
Offense · 12: −0.16
Offense · 13: −0.16
Offense · 15: −0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.18
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1381
1399
1416
1434
1452
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Elo · Sep 5: 1447
Elo · Sep 12: 1421
Elo · Sep 19: 1399
Elo · Sep 26: 1386
Season to date
Record
1-3
Conference
0-1
Home
1-2
Away
0-1
Against the spread
2-2
Over/under
2-2
Points for / against
27.2 / 24.2
Avg margin
+3.0