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New Mexico
Mountain West · 2026
4-1
Record
9.9-2.1
Projected regular season
27%
Playoff chance
+5.7
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 10:30 PM
at Hawai'i
83% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Central Michigan
W
38-7
−4.6
−11.5
Sep 12
vs
Mercyhurst
W
70-7
−43.7
−42.5
Sep 19
at
Oklahoma
L
6-14
+21.6
+21.5
Sep 26
at
New Mexico State
W
42-18
−11.7
−11.5
Oct 3
vs
UTEP
W
61-7
−23.8
−23.5
Oct 17
at
Hawai'i
83%
−15
–
Oct 24
vs
North Dakota State
79%
−12.7
–
Oct 31
at
San José State
84%
−16
–
Nov 6
at
Nevada
85%
−16.6
–
Nov 14
vs
UNLV
81%
−14.2
–
Nov 21
at
Wyoming
89%
−19.4
–
Nov 28
vs
Air Force
86%
−17.4
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.26
−0.16
−0.06
+0.04
+0.14
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.24
Net · 2: −0.11
Net · 3: −0.12
Net · 4: −0.05
Net · 5: −0.02
Net · 6: +0.02
Net · 7: +0.02
Net · 8: +0.02
Net · 9: +0.02
Net · 10: +0.02
Net · 11: +0.02
Net · 12: +0.02
Net · 13: +0.02
Net · 15: +0.02
Offense · 1: −0.12
Offense · 2: −0.07
Offense · 3: −0.08
Offense · 4: −0.09
Offense · 5: −0.03
Offense · 6: −0.02
Offense · 7: −0.02
Offense · 8: −0.02
Offense · 9: −0.02
Offense · 10: −0.02
Offense · 11: −0.02
Offense · 12: −0.02
Offense · 13: −0.02
Offense · 15: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.04
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1540
1548
1557
1566
1575
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1553
Elo · Sep 12: 1558
Elo · Sep 19: 1542
Elo · Sep 26: 1561
Elo · Oct 3: 1573
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
5-0
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
43.4 / 10.6
Avg margin
+32.8