NCAAF › Teams › North Dakota State

North Dakota State

Mountain West · 2026
5-0
Record
9.3-2.6
Projected regular season
2%
Playoff chance
−4.7
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextSat, Oct 10, 7:00 PMat UNLV35% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Aug 29
vsJacksonville State
W33-7−2−6.5
Sep 5
vsFordham
W38-0−36.7−41.5
Sep 12
atAir Force
W38-32+2.7−1.5
Sep 19
atSacramento State
W31-10−7.8−26.5
Oct 3
vsWyoming
W28-0−13.3−17.5
Oct 10
atUNLV
35%+6−3
Oct 17
vsNevada
79%−12.8–
Oct 24
atNew Mexico
21%+12.7–
Oct 31
vsUTEP
89%−19.7–
Nov 14
atHawai'i
64%−5.6–
Nov 21
vsNorthern Illinois
82%−14.7–
Nov 27
atSan José State
63%−5.1–

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.25−0.15−0.04+0.06+0.16Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: −0.22Net · 2: −0.02Net · 3: −0.06Net · 4: −0.02Net · 5: −0.04Net · 6: −0.02Net · 7: −0.02Net · 8: −0.02Net · 9: −0.02Net · 10: −0.02Net · 11: −0.02Net · 12: −0.02Net · 13: −0.02Net · 15: −0.02Offense · 1: −0.09Offense · 2: −0.06Offense · 3: −0.06Offense · 4: −0.07Offense · 5: −0.08Offense · 6: −0.07Offense · 7: −0.07Offense · 8: −0.07Offense · 9: −0.07Offense · 10: −0.07Offense · 11: −0.07Offense · 12: −0.07Offense · 13: −0.07Offense · 15: −0.07Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.14Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.00Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.05Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.05Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.04
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
15111526154115561571Aug 29Sep 5Sep 12Sep 19Oct 3Elo · Aug 29: 1515Elo · Sep 5: 1519Elo · Sep 12: 1538Elo · Sep 19: 1551Elo · Oct 3: 1567

Season to date

Record
5-0
Conference
2-0
Home
3-0
Away
2-0
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
1-4
Points for / against
33.6 / 9.8
Avg margin
+23.8