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Northwestern
Big Ten · 2026
3-1
Record
7.9-4.1
Projected regular season
6%
Playoff chance
+13.3
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 12:30 PM
vs Ball State
99% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
South Dakota State
W
34-18
−29.4
−14
Sep 19
vs
Colorado
W
41-7
−8.5
−3.5
Sep 25
at
7
Indiana
L
23-29
+13
+20.5
Oct 2
vs
Penn State
W
34-13
−5.5
+3
Oct 10
vs
Ball State
99%
−36
−36.5
Oct 17
at
Michigan State
73%
−9.6
–
Oct 24
vs
Rutgers
91%
−22.1
–
Oct 31
at
13
Oregon
20%
+13.9
–
Nov 7
vs
20
Iowa
57%
−2.7
–
Nov 14
at
5
Ohio State
13%
+18
–
Nov 21
at
Minnesota
65%
−6
–
Nov 28
vs
Illinois
78%
−12.4
+3.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.05
+0.01
+0.07
+0.12
+0.18
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.03
Net · 2: −0.03
Net · 3: −0.02
Net · 4: +0.05
Net · 5: +0.11
Net · 6: +0.15
Net · 7: +0.15
Net · 8: +0.15
Net · 9: +0.15
Net · 10: +0.15
Net · 11: +0.15
Net · 12: +0.15
Net · 13: +0.15
Net · 15: +0.15
Offense · 1: −0.02
Offense · 2: +0.06
Offense · 3: +0.06
Offense · 4: +0.08
Offense · 5: +0.14
Offense · 6: +0.17
Offense · 7: +0.17
Offense · 8: +0.17
Offense · 9: +0.17
Offense · 10: +0.17
Offense · 11: +0.17
Offense · 12: +0.17
Offense · 13: +0.17
Offense · 15: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.01
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1520
1536
1551
1567
1583
Sep 5
Sep 19
Sep 25
Oct 2
Elo · Sep 5: 1524
Elo · Sep 19: 1548
Elo · Sep 25: 1542
Elo · Oct 2: 1578
Season to date
Record
3-1
Conference
1-1
Home
3-0
Away
0-1
Against the spread
4-0
Over/under
4-0
Points for / against
33.0 / 16.8
Avg margin
+16.2