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5
Ohio State
Big Ten · 2026
4-1
Record
9.6-2.4
Projected regular season
88%
Playoff chance
+27.7
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 4:15 PM
vs Maryland
98% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Ball State
W
56-3
−46.1
−50.5
Sep 12
at
1
Texas
L
23-24
+0.1
+2.5
Sep 19
vs
Kent State
W
59-3
−46.2
−52.5
Sep 26
vs
Illinois
W
42-19
−22.2
−25.5
Oct 3
at
20
Iowa
W
31-14
−9.1
−14.5
Oct 10
vs
Maryland
98%
−34.3
−34.5
Oct 17
at
7
Indiana
62%
−4.9
+1.5
Oct 31
at
19
USC
75%
−11.3
−7.5
Nov 7
vs
13
Oregon
75%
−11.1
−6
Nov 14
vs
Northwestern
87%
−18
–
Nov 21
at
Nebraska
76%
−11.7
–
Nov 28
vs
Michigan
90%
−20.8
−13.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.24
−0.06
+0.11
+0.29
+0.46
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.35
Net · 2: +0.41
Net · 3: +0.41
Net · 4: +0.39
Net · 5: +0.34
Net · 6: +0.37
Net · 7: +0.37
Net · 8: +0.37
Net · 9: +0.37
Net · 10: +0.37
Net · 11: +0.37
Net · 12: +0.37
Net · 13: +0.37
Net · 15: +0.37
Offense · 1: +0.19
Offense · 2: +0.24
Offense · 3: +0.23
Offense · 4: +0.20
Offense · 5: +0.23
Offense · 6: +0.24
Offense · 7: +0.24
Offense · 8: +0.24
Offense · 9: +0.24
Offense · 10: +0.24
Offense · 11: +0.24
Offense · 12: +0.24
Offense · 13: +0.24
Offense · 15: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.13
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1708
1722
1736
1750
1763
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1718
Elo · Sep 12: 1712
Elo · Sep 19: 1719
Elo · Sep 26: 1734
Elo · Oct 3: 1760
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
2-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
42.2 / 12.6
Avg margin
+29.6