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9
Ole Miss
SEC · 2026
3-1
Record
7.4-4.6
Projected regular season
5%
Playoff chance
+13.8
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
at Vanderbilt
67% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 6
vs
Louisville
W
41-38
−12.9
−6.5
Sep 12
vs
Charlotte
W
41-9
−45.3
−44.5
Sep 19
vs
10
LSU
W
32-24
+3.2
+3
Sep 26
at
16
Florida
L
28-52
+0.9
+4
Oct 10
at
Vanderbilt
67%
−7.2
−10
Oct 17
vs
14
Missouri
54%
−1.4
–
Oct 24
at
1
Texas
19%
+14.3
+8.5
Oct 31
vs
Auburn
73%
−10
–
Nov 7
vs
2
Georgia
19%
+14.4
+4.5
Nov 14
at
Oklahoma
46%
+1.5
+4
Nov 21
vs
Wofford
100%
−47.9
–
Nov 27
vs
17
Mississippi State
58%
−3.2
−14.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.07
+0.00
+0.08
+0.15
+0.23
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.21
Net · 2: +0.16
Net · 3: +0.08
Net · 4: +0.16
Net · 5: +0.14
Net · 6: +0.12
Net · 7: +0.12
Net · 8: +0.12
Net · 9: +0.12
Net · 10: +0.12
Net · 11: +0.12
Net · 12: +0.12
Net · 13: +0.12
Net · 15: +0.12
Offense · 1: +0.15
Offense · 2: +0.17
Offense · 3: +0.11
Offense · 4: +0.20
Offense · 5: +0.20
Offense · 6: +0.18
Offense · 7: +0.18
Offense · 8: +0.18
Offense · 9: +0.18
Offense · 10: +0.18
Offense · 11: +0.18
Offense · 12: +0.18
Offense · 13: +0.18
Offense · 15: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.06
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1664
1677
1690
1702
1715
Sep 6
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Elo · Sep 6: 1694
Elo · Sep 12: 1699
Elo · Sep 19: 1712
Elo · Sep 26: 1668
Season to date
Record
3-1
Conference
1-1
Home
2-0
Away
0-1
Against the spread
1-3
Over/under
2-2
Points for / against
35.5 / 30.8
Avg margin
+4.8