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13
Oregon
Big Ten · 2026
3-1
Record
9.1-2.9
Projected regular season
58%
Playoff chance
+22.2
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
vs UCLA
82% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
23
Boise State
W
34-27
−27.5
−24.5
Sep 12
at
18
Oklahoma State
L
31-39
−27.4
−24.5
Sep 18
vs
Portland State
W
84-0
−54.1
−58.5
Sep 26
at
19
USC
W
41-27
−1
−3.5
Oct 10
vs
21
UCLA
82%
−15.1
−11.5
Oct 17
vs
Nebraska
83%
−15.5
−21.5
Oct 24
at
Illinois
78%
−12.4
–
Oct 31
vs
Northwestern
80%
−13.9
–
Nov 7
at
5
Ohio State
25%
+11.1
+6
Nov 14
vs
Michigan
87%
−18
−13.5
Nov 20
at
Michigan State
87%
−18
–
Nov 28
vs
Washington
89%
−19.6
−15.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.16
−0.03
+0.10
+0.23
+0.36
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.32
Net · 2: +0.23
Net · 3: +0.15
Net · 4: +0.19
Net · 5: +0.27
Net · 6: +0.27
Net · 7: +0.27
Net · 8: +0.27
Net · 9: +0.27
Net · 10: +0.27
Net · 11: +0.27
Net · 12: +0.27
Net · 13: +0.27
Net · 15: +0.27
Offense · 1: +0.20
Offense · 2: +0.15
Offense · 3: +0.07
Offense · 4: +0.10
Offense · 5: +0.16
Offense · 6: +0.17
Offense · 7: +0.17
Offense · 8: +0.17
Offense · 9: +0.17
Offense · 10: +0.17
Offense · 11: +0.17
Offense · 12: +0.17
Offense · 13: +0.17
Offense · 15: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.10
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1665
1678
1691
1704
1717
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 18
Sep 26
Elo · Sep 5: 1714
Elo · Sep 12: 1669
Elo · Sep 18: 1671
Elo · Sep 26: 1701
Season to date
Record
3-1
Conference
1-0
Home
2-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
2-2
Over/under
4-0
Points for / against
47.5 / 23.2
Avg margin
+24.2