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25
Pittsburgh
ACC · 2026
5-0
Record
9.3-2.7
Projected regular season
11%
Playoff chance
+9.4
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM
vs North Carolina
69% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Miami (OH)
W
59-14
−15.7
−16.5
Sep 12
vs
UCF
W
12-7
−14
−7.5
Sep 17
vs
Syracuse
W
27-13
−15.2
−10.5
Sep 26
vs
Bucknell
W
59-0
−55.3
−54.5
Oct 2
at
Virginia Tech
W
35-33
−1.8
+1.5
Oct 10
vs
North Carolina
69%
−8.1
−3.5
Oct 17
at
Boston College
84%
−15.3
–
Oct 24
at
4
Miami
13%
+18
–
Oct 31
vs
Georgia Tech
76%
−11.6
–
Nov 13
vs
Florida State
64%
−5.9
–
Nov 21
at
Louisville
43%
+2.7
–
Nov 28
at
California
77%
−11.8
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.08
−0.03
+0.02
+0.06
+0.11
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.05
Net · 2: +0.08
Net · 3: +0.09
Net · 4: +0.08
Net · 5: +0.09
Net · 6: +0.09
Net · 7: +0.09
Net · 8: +0.09
Net · 9: +0.09
Net · 10: +0.09
Net · 11: +0.09
Net · 12: +0.09
Net · 13: +0.09
Net · 15: +0.09
Offense · 1: +0.01
Offense · 2: +0.08
Offense · 3: +0.03
Offense · 4: +0.03
Offense · 5: +0.06
Offense · 6: +0.04
Offense · 7: +0.04
Offense · 8: +0.04
Offense · 9: +0.04
Offense · 10: +0.04
Offense · 11: +0.04
Offense · 12: +0.04
Offense · 13: +0.04
Offense · 15: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.05
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1567
1578
1588
1599
1609
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 17
Sep 26
Oct 2
Elo · Sep 5: 1570
Elo · Sep 12: 1580
Elo · Sep 17: 1592
Elo · Sep 26: 1596
Elo · Oct 2: 1607
Season to date
Record
5-0
Conference
2-0
Home
4-0
Away
1-0
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
38.4 / 13.4
Avg margin
+25.0