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› Sacramento State
Sacramento State
Mid-American · 2026
1-4
Record
2.8-9.2
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−23.0
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM
at Bowling Green
33% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Aug 29
at
Eastern Michigan
L
17-28
+11.2
+9.5
Sep 5
vs
Mississippi Valley State
W
52-0
−35.8
−38.5
Sep 12
at
Fresno State
L
3-49
+15.8
+17.5
Sep 19
vs
North Dakota State
L
10-31
+7.8
+26.5
Sep 26
vs
Massachusetts
L
6-35
+4.3
+6
Oct 10
at
Bowling Green
33%
+6.9
+7.5
Oct 17
vs
Ohio
21%
+12.9
–
Oct 24
at
Ball State
30%
+8.5
–
Oct 30
vs
Kent State
45%
+1.9
–
Nov 4
vs
Toledo
10%
+20.5
–
Nov 11
at
Central Michigan
16%
+15.6
–
Nov 28
at
Hawai'i
25%
+10.6
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.50
−0.31
−0.12
+0.06
+0.25
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.30
Net · 2: −0.36
Net · 3: −0.40
Net · 4: −0.41
Net · 5: −0.44
Net · 6: −0.42
Net · 7: −0.42
Net · 8: −0.42
Net · 9: −0.42
Net · 10: −0.42
Net · 11: −0.42
Net · 12: −0.42
Net · 13: −0.42
Net · 15: −0.42
Offense · 1: −0.12
Offense · 2: −0.20
Offense · 3: −0.22
Offense · 4: −0.24
Offense · 5: −0.25
Offense · 6: −0.24
Offense · 7: −0.24
Offense · 8: −0.24
Offense · 9: −0.24
Offense · 10: −0.24
Offense · 11: −0.24
Offense · 12: −0.24
Offense · 13: −0.24
Offense · 15: −0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.18
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1239
1255
1271
1287
1304
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Elo · Aug 29: 1285
Elo · Sep 5: 1299
Elo · Sep 12: 1286
Elo · Sep 19: 1273
Elo · Sep 26: 1244
Season to date
Record
1-4
Conference
0-2
Home
1-2
Away
0-2
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
1-4
Points for / against
17.6 / 28.6
Avg margin
-11.0