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› San Diego State
San Diego State
Pac-12 · 2026
2-3
Record
4.6-6.4
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−5.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 6:00 PM
at Oregon State
23% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Portland State
W
53-20
−42.1
−38.5
Sep 12
at
21
UCLA
L
10-28
+15.1
+13.5
Sep 19
vs
James Madison
L
13-26
−0.9
−3
Sep 26
at
Toledo
L
16-41
+11.6
+2.5
Oct 3
vs
Texas State
W
31-29
+4.9
+10
Oct 10
at
Oregon State
23%
+11.8
+14.5
Oct 17
vs
Fresno State
43%
+2.9
–
Oct 24
at
Colorado State
57%
−3
–
Oct 31
vs
Washington State
66%
−6.5
–
Nov 14
vs
Utah State
61%
−4.2
–
Nov 21
at
23
Boise State
11%
+19.5
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.25
−0.16
−0.06
+0.03
+0.12
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.07
Net · 2: −0.15
Net · 3: −0.16
Net · 4: −0.22
Net · 5: −0.22
Net · 6: −0.21
Net · 7: −0.21
Net · 8: −0.21
Net · 9: −0.21
Net · 10: −0.21
Net · 11: −0.21
Net · 12: −0.21
Net · 13: −0.21
Net · 15: −0.21
Offense · 1: −0.06
Offense · 2: −0.06
Offense · 3: −0.12
Offense · 4: −0.16
Offense · 5: −0.15
Offense · 6: −0.19
Offense · 7: −0.19
Offense · 8: −0.19
Offense · 9: −0.19
Offense · 10: −0.19
Offense · 11: −0.19
Offense · 12: −0.19
Offense · 13: −0.19
Offense · 15: −0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.02
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1455
1475
1495
1515
1535
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1530
Elo · Sep 12: 1501
Elo · Sep 19: 1483
Elo · Sep 26: 1460
Elo · Oct 3: 1473
Season to date
Record
2-3
Conference
1-0
Home
2-1
Away
0-2
Against the spread
1-4
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
24.6 / 28.8
Avg margin
-4.2