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› San José State
San José State
Mountain West · 2026
3-2
Record
6.5-6.5
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−14.0
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Fri, Oct 9, 9:00 PM
vs Wyoming
61% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Aug 29
at
19
USC
L
26-42
+34.2
+37.5
Sep 4
at
Eastern Michigan
W
27-21
+5.9
+1.5
Sep 12
vs
Cal Poly
W
30-20
−29.3
−21.5
Sep 19
vs
Fresno State
L
10-26
+8.3
+4
Oct 3
at
Hawai'i
W
20-16
+5.8
+2.5
Oct 9
vs
Wyoming
61%
−4.2
−6
Oct 17
at
UTEP
69%
−7.9
–
Oct 24
at
Nevada
38%
+4.7
–
Oct 31
vs
New Mexico
17%
+15.3
–
Nov 7
vs
Northern Illinois
64%
−5.7
–
Nov 14
at
Air Force
28%
+9.3
–
Nov 21
vs
UNLV
32%
+7.5
–
Nov 27
vs
North Dakota State
38%
+4.9
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.24
−0.15
−0.06
+0.04
+0.13
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.16
Net · 2: −0.04
Net · 3: −0.15
Net · 4: −0.21
Net · 5: −0.22
Net · 6: −0.18
Net · 7: −0.18
Net · 8: −0.18
Net · 9: −0.18
Net · 10: −0.18
Net · 11: −0.18
Net · 12: −0.18
Net · 13: −0.18
Net · 15: −0.18
Offense · 1: −0.05
Offense · 2: −0.02
Offense · 3: −0.08
Offense · 4: −0.15
Offense · 5: −0.15
Offense · 6: −0.13
Offense · 7: −0.13
Offense · 8: −0.13
Offense · 9: −0.13
Offense · 10: −0.13
Offense · 11: −0.13
Offense · 12: −0.13
Offense · 13: −0.13
Offense · 15: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.05
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1389
1398
1408
1418
1428
Aug 29
Sep 4
Sep 12
Sep 19
Oct 3
Elo · Aug 29: 1391
Elo · Sep 4: 1417
Elo · Sep 12: 1425
Elo · Sep 19: 1402
Elo · Oct 3: 1423
Season to date
Record
3-2
Conference
1-0
Home
1-1
Away
2-1
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
1-4
Points for / against
22.6 / 25.0
Avg margin
-2.4