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24
SMU
ACC · 2026
4-1
Record
8.5-3.5
Projected regular season
4%
Playoff chance
+8.7
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM
vs Virginia
70% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 7
at
Florida State
W
27-24
+3.8
−3
Sep 12
vs
UC Davis
W
56-10
−34.5
−32.5
Sep 19
at
Louisville
L
31-41
−2.2
+3
Sep 26
vs
Missouri State
W
34-24
−31.4
−30.5
Oct 3
vs
Boston College
W
25-16
−22
−21.5
Oct 17
vs
Virginia
70%
−8.3
–
Oct 24
vs
California
88%
−19
–
Oct 31
at
Syracuse
69%
−8
–
Nov 6
vs
Virginia Tech
67%
−7
–
Nov 14
vs
Wake Forest
59%
−3.8
–
Nov 21
at
3
Notre Dame
8%
+22.2
+17.5
Nov 28
at
Stanford
85%
−16.5
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.14
−0.02
+0.10
+0.22
+0.33
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.11
Net · 2: +0.18
Net · 3: +0.30
Net · 4: +0.20
Net · 5: +0.13
Net · 6: +0.07
Net · 7: +0.07
Net · 8: +0.07
Net · 9: +0.07
Net · 10: +0.07
Net · 11: +0.07
Net · 12: +0.07
Net · 13: +0.07
Net · 15: +0.07
Offense · 1: +0.06
Offense · 2: +0.12
Offense · 3: +0.20
Offense · 4: +0.13
Offense · 5: +0.06
Offense · 6: +0.05
Offense · 7: +0.05
Offense · 8: +0.05
Offense · 9: +0.05
Offense · 10: +0.05
Offense · 11: +0.05
Offense · 12: +0.05
Offense · 13: +0.05
Offense · 15: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.02
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1620
1627
1634
1641
1648
Sep 7
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 7: 1634
Elo · Sep 12: 1646
Elo · Sep 19: 1622
Elo · Sep 26: 1629
Elo · Oct 3: 1637
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
2-1
Home
3-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
1-3-1
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
34.6 / 23.0
Avg margin
+11.6