NCAAF › Teams › Southern Miss

Southern Miss

Sun Belt · 2026
1-4
Record
4.1-7.9
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−10.0
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextSat, Oct 17, 7:00 PMvs Arkansas State44% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Sep 5
vsAlcorn State
W49-3−35.3−20.5
Sep 12
atAuburn
L8-43+13.9+32.5
Sep 19
vsUConn
L20-48−9.9+3.5
Sep 26
atTulane
L21-24+10.4+17.5
Oct 6
atTroy
L34-55+2.2+9.5
Oct 17
vsArkansas State
44%+2.5–
Oct 24
vsLouisiana
33%+7–
Oct 31
atUL Monroe
78%−12.3–
Nov 5
vsJames Madison
19%+14.3–
Nov 14
atLouisiana Tech
30%+8.6–
Nov 21
vsSouth Alabama
52%−0.7–
Nov 28
atOld Dominion
54%−1.8–

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.27−0.16−0.04+0.07+0.18Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: −0.08Net · 2: −0.03Net · 3: −0.12Net · 4: −0.24Net · 5: −0.18Net · 6: −0.19Net · 7: −0.23Net · 8: −0.23Net · 9: −0.23Net · 10: −0.23Net · 11: −0.23Net · 12: −0.23Net · 13: −0.23Net · 15: −0.23Offense · 1: −0.04Offense · 2: −0.01Offense · 3: −0.06Offense · 4: −0.15Offense · 5: −0.10Offense · 6: −0.11Offense · 7: −0.09Offense · 8: −0.09Offense · 9: −0.09Offense · 10: −0.09Offense · 11: −0.09Offense · 12: −0.09Offense · 13: −0.09Offense · 15: −0.09Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.03Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.01Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.09Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.07Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.08Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.15Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.15Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.15Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.15Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.15Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.15Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.15Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.15
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
13661389141214351458Sep 5Sep 12Sep 19Sep 26Oct 6Elo · Sep 5: 1452Elo · Sep 12: 1428Elo · Sep 19: 1397Elo · Sep 26: 1391Elo · Oct 6: 1372

Season to date

Record
1-4
Conference
0-1
Home
1-1
Away
0-3
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
26.4 / 34.6
Avg margin
-8.2