BEAVER
MODEL
Home
NFL
NCAAF
NBA
NCAAB
MLB
How It Works
My Slip
NCAAF
›
Teams
› TCU
TCU
Big 12 · 2026
2-3
Record
4.9-7.1
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
+5.2
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 7:00 PM
at Baylor
30% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Aug 29
vs
North Carolina
L
10-15
−9.2
−7.5
Sep 12
vs
Grambling
W
63-7
−41.5
−44.5
Sep 19
vs
Arkansas State
W
31-7
−13.3
−18.5
Sep 26
at
UCF
L
13-21
+0.9
−3.5
Oct 3
vs
8
BYU
L
10-17
+7.5
+5.5
Oct 17
at
Baylor
30%
+8.2
–
Oct 24
vs
West Virginia
72%
−9.2
–
Oct 31
vs
Kansas
55%
−2.1
–
Nov 6
at
Arizona
33%
+7
–
Nov 14
vs
Kansas State
53%
−1
–
Nov 21
vs
12
Utah
23%
+11.8
–
Nov 26
at
11
Texas Tech
24%
+11.4
+16.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.11
−0.06
−0.01
+0.04
+0.10
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.08
Net · 2: +0.02
Net · 3: +0.03
Net · 4: +0.02
Net · 5: +0.03
Net · 6: +0.07
Net · 7: +0.07
Net · 8: +0.07
Net · 9: +0.07
Net · 10: +0.07
Net · 11: +0.07
Net · 12: +0.07
Net · 13: +0.07
Net · 15: +0.07
Offense · 1: +0.07
Offense · 2: −0.01
Offense · 3: +0.03
Offense · 4: −0.00
Offense · 5: −0.01
Offense · 6: −0.03
Offense · 7: −0.03
Offense · 8: −0.03
Offense · 9: −0.03
Offense · 10: −0.03
Offense · 11: −0.03
Offense · 12: −0.03
Offense · 13: −0.03
Offense · 15: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.10
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1545
1557
1570
1583
1595
Aug 29
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Aug 29: 1565
Elo · Sep 12: 1574
Elo · Sep 19: 1592
Elo · Sep 26: 1565
Elo · Oct 3: 1548
Season to date
Record
2-3
Conference
0-2
Home
2-1
Away
0-1
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
1-4
Points for / against
25.4 / 13.4
Avg margin
+12.0