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15
Tennessee
SEC · 2026
4-1
Record
7.9-4.1
Projected regular season
12%
Playoff chance
+15.5
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 4:15 PM
at Arkansas
80% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Furman
W
56-9
−50.8
−49.5
Sep 12
at
Georgia Tech
W
45-24
−5.6
−12.5
Sep 19
vs
Kennesaw State
W
42-9
−33.1
−35.5
Sep 26
vs
1
Texas
L
17-20
+4.7
+5.5
Oct 3
vs
Auburn
W
24-14
−10.8
−6
Oct 10
at
Arkansas
80%
−13.5
−13.5
Oct 17
vs
6
Alabama
28%
+9.3
+1.5
Oct 24
at
South Carolina
54%
−1.4
–
Nov 7
vs
Kentucky
74%
−10.6
–
Nov 14
at
Texas A&M
44%
+2.5
+8.5
Nov 21
vs
10
LSU
45%
+1.9
+1.5
Nov 28
at
Vanderbilt
70%
−8.5
−3
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.17
−0.04
+0.08
+0.21
+0.33
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.23
Net · 2: +0.22
Net · 3: +0.30
Net · 4: +0.25
Net · 5: +0.22
Net · 6: +0.22
Net · 7: +0.22
Net · 8: +0.22
Net · 9: +0.22
Net · 10: +0.22
Net · 11: +0.22
Net · 12: +0.22
Net · 13: +0.22
Net · 15: +0.22
Offense · 1: +0.17
Offense · 2: +0.15
Offense · 3: +0.19
Offense · 4: +0.16
Offense · 5: +0.10
Offense · 6: +0.09
Offense · 7: +0.09
Offense · 8: +0.09
Offense · 9: +0.09
Offense · 10: +0.09
Offense · 11: +0.09
Offense · 12: +0.09
Offense · 13: +0.09
Offense · 15: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.13
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1580
1593
1607
1621
1635
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1583
Elo · Sep 12: 1613
Elo · Sep 19: 1628
Elo · Sep 26: 1616
Elo · Oct 3: 1631
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-1
Home
3-1
Away
1-0
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
1-4
Points for / against
36.8 / 15.2
Avg margin
+21.6