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1
Texas
SEC · 2026
4-0
Record
10.3-1.7
Projected regular season
89%
Playoff chance
+25.8
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
vs Oklahoma
79% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Texas State
W
59-7
−26
−29.5
Sep 12
vs
5
Ohio State
W
24-23
−0.1
−2.5
Sep 19
vs
UTSA
W
30-6
−25.4
−29.5
Sep 26
at
15
Tennessee
W
20-17
−4.7
−5.5
Oct 10
vs
Oklahoma
79%
−12.4
−7.5
Oct 17
vs
16
Florida
81%
−14.1
–
Oct 24
vs
9
Ole Miss
81%
−14.3
−8.5
Oct 31
vs
17
Mississippi State
87%
−18.1
–
Nov 7
at
14
Missouri
71%
−8.8
–
Nov 14
at
10
LSU
55%
−1.9
−2.5
Nov 21
vs
Arkansas
96%
−27.8
–
Nov 27
at
Texas A&M
75%
−10.5
−2.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.25
−0.11
+0.03
+0.17
+0.30
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.26
Net · 2: +0.25
Net · 3: +0.25
Net · 4: +0.23
Net · 5: +0.27
Net · 6: +0.27
Net · 7: +0.26
Net · 8: +0.26
Net · 9: +0.26
Net · 10: +0.26
Net · 11: +0.26
Net · 12: +0.26
Net · 13: +0.26
Net · 15: +0.26
Offense · 1: +0.13
Offense · 2: +0.15
Offense · 3: +0.14
Offense · 4: +0.10
Offense · 5: +0.05
Offense · 6: +0.07
Offense · 7: +0.06
Offense · 8: +0.06
Offense · 9: +0.06
Offense · 10: +0.06
Offense · 11: +0.06
Offense · 12: +0.06
Offense · 13: +0.06
Offense · 15: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.20
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1679
1690
1700
1711
1721
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Elo · Sep 5: 1682
Elo · Sep 12: 1689
Elo · Sep 19: 1706
Elo · Sep 26: 1718
Season to date
Record
4-0
Conference
1-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-0
Against the spread
1-3
Over/under
1-3
Points for / against
33.2 / 13.2
Avg margin
+20.0