BEAVER
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UCF
Big 12 · 2026
3-2
Record
6.6-5.4
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
+4.2
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM
at Oklahoma State
46% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 3
vs
Bethune-Cookman
W
73-6
−37.9
−43.5
Sep 12
at
25
Pittsburgh
L
7-12
+14
+7.5
Sep 19
vs
Georgia State
W
44-30
−14.4
−17.5
Sep 26
vs
TCU
W
21-13
−0.9
+3.5
Oct 3
at
22
Houston
L
17-27
+9.9
+10.5
Oct 10
at
18
Oklahoma State
46%
+1.6
+10.5
Oct 24
vs
8
BYU
37%
+5.2
–
Oct 30
vs
Baylor
48%
+0.7
–
Nov 7
at
Kansas
39%
+4.6
–
Nov 14
vs
Arizona State
63%
−5.5
–
Nov 20
vs
Iowa State
70%
−8.2
–
Nov 28
at
Colorado
61%
−4.5
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.11
−0.07
−0.03
+0.01
+0.05
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.06
Net · 2: −0.06
Net · 3: −0.04
Net · 4: −0.03
Net · 5: −0.03
Net · 6: +0.04
Net · 7: +0.04
Net · 8: +0.04
Net · 9: +0.04
Net · 10: +0.04
Net · 11: +0.04
Net · 12: +0.04
Net · 13: +0.04
Net · 15: +0.04
Offense · 1: −0.03
Offense · 2: −0.06
Offense · 3: −0.10
Offense · 4: −0.07
Offense · 5: −0.09
Offense · 6: −0.06
Offense · 7: −0.06
Offense · 8: −0.06
Offense · 9: −0.06
Offense · 10: −0.06
Offense · 11: −0.06
Offense · 12: −0.06
Offense · 13: −0.06
Offense · 15: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.10
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1459
1472
1486
1499
1512
Sep 3
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 3: 1473
Elo · Sep 12: 1463
Elo · Sep 19: 1481
Elo · Sep 26: 1508
Elo · Oct 3: 1493
Season to date
Record
3-2
Conference
1-1
Home
3-0
Away
0-2
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
32.4 / 17.6
Avg margin
+14.8