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UTSA
American Athletic · 2026
4-1
Record
8.9-3.1
Projected regular season
7%
Playoff chance
+3.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Thu, Oct 8, 7:30 PM
vs South Florida
71% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
UT Rio Grande Valley
W
45-16
−35.4
−28.5
Sep 12
at
Texas State
W
31-26
−2
+1.5
Sep 19
at
1
Texas
L
6-30
+25.4
+29.5
Sep 26
vs
Colorado State
W
59-45
−14.9
−14.5
Oct 3
at
Rice
W
16-14
−13.1
−11.5
Oct 8
vs
South Florida
71%
−8.6
−7
Oct 17
vs
Navy
87%
−18
–
Oct 24
at
Tulane
60%
−4.1
–
Nov 5
at
Florida Atlantic
64%
−5.9
–
Nov 14
vs
North Texas
63%
−5.3
–
Nov 21
at
UAB
75%
−10.8
–
Nov 28
vs
Tulsa
76%
−11.2
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.08
−0.04
−0.00
+0.03
+0.07
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.07
Net · 2: −0.04
Net · 3: +0.00
Net · 4: +0.06
Net · 5: +0.05
Net · 6: +0.02
Net · 7: +0.02
Net · 8: +0.02
Net · 9: +0.02
Net · 10: +0.02
Net · 11: +0.02
Net · 12: +0.02
Net · 13: +0.02
Net · 15: +0.02
Offense · 1: −0.01
Offense · 2: −0.02
Offense · 3: +0.01
Offense · 4: −0.00
Offense · 5: +0.04
Offense · 6: +0.01
Offense · 7: +0.01
Offense · 8: +0.01
Offense · 9: +0.01
Offense · 10: +0.01
Offense · 11: +0.01
Offense · 12: +0.01
Offense · 13: +0.01
Offense · 15: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.01
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1554
1560
1566
1572
1578
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1556
Elo · Sep 12: 1574
Elo · Sep 19: 1557
Elo · Sep 26: 1570
Elo · Oct 3: 1577
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
2-0
Away
2-1
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
31.4 / 26.2
Avg margin
+5.2