Beaver projection
Sat, Oct 17, 3:30 PM ET
Lane Stadium · 76° · wind 8 mph
Beaver vs. Vegas
| ★ BEAVER | VEGAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Score (Georgia Tech–Virginia Tech) | 26–34 | – |
| Spread | Virginia Tech −8.0 | No line |
| Total | 59.7 | n/a |
| Virginia Tech win chance | 69% | – |
The call
Beaver’s Pick
Waiting on the Vegas line
How Beaver sees the margin
Range of likely outcomes around Virginia Tech by 8.09%
Georgia Tech by 14+
22%
Georgia Tech by 1–13
33%
Virginia Tech by 1–13
36%
Virginia Tech by 14+
No Vegas lines for this game yet.
Tale of the tape
ranks among 138 FBS teams entering this game · brighter = better of the two| Georgia Tech | Opponent-adjusted, vs. average FBS team | Virginia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | ||
| +0.042 #46 | Offense EPA / play | +0.093 #25 |
| +0.099 #101 | Defense EPA / play allowed | +0.068 #80 |
| +3.6% #34 | Offense success rate | +4.4% #28 |
| +2.6% #88 | Defense success rate allowed | −0.0% #63 |
| +0.084 #48 | Rushing EPA / play | +0.056 #61 |
| +0.020 #54 | Passing EPA / play | +0.131 #25 |
| +0.036 #76 | Rush defense EPA allowed | +0.017 #63 |
| +0.196 #119 | Pass defense EPA allowed | +0.122 #93 |
| −1.5 #70 | Scoring offense (pts vs avg) | +5.0 #28 |
| +1.6 #79 | Scoring defense (pts vs avg) | +2.9 #86 |
| Situational | ||
| −0.6% #57 | Passing-down success (3rd & long) | +5.8% #14 |
| +6.4% #125 | Passing-down success allowed | −4.3% #24 |
| −0.20 #77 | Points per drive | +0.99 #18 |
| +0.09 #67 | Points per drive allowed | +0.28 #84 |
| Trenches | ||
| +0.40 #21 | Line yards per rush | −0.04 #98 |
| +0.03 #72 | Line yards per rush allowed | −0.60 #7 |
| −2.6% #60 | Runs stuffed at the line | +1.5% #114 |
| −0.8% #85 | Opponent runs stuffed | +4.9% #14 |
| −1.4% #67 | Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU) | −3.3% #32 |
| −0.9% #72 | Havoc created | +3.2% #13 |
| Big plays | ||
| −0.120 #118 | Rushing explosiveness | +0.120 #27 |
| +0.110 #67 | Passing explosiveness | +0.091 #80 |
| −0.03 #56 | Open-field yards per rush | −0.01 #54 |
| +0.302 #136 | Pass explosiveness allowed | −0.079 #38 |
| Style and schedule | ||
| 54% #87 | Run rate | 52% #111 |
| −5.9 #57 | Strength of schedule (avg opponent) | −17.2 #128 |
Tendencies
season to date · against the spread and over/under use closing lines| Georgia Tech | Season to date | Virginia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 4-1 |
| 0-1 | Conference | 1-1 |
| 1-2 | Home | 2-1 |
| 0-1 | Away | 2-0 |
| 0-4 | Against the spread | 3-2 |
| 2-2 | Over/under | 4-1 |
| 27.0 / 26.0 | Points for / against | 41.2 / 19.8 |
| +1.0 | Avg margin | +21.4 |
| -7.9 | Avg vs. the spread | +3.3 |
| 60.8 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 65.0 |
Virginia Tech: last 5 games
| L33-35 | |
| W21-14 | |
| W35-26 | |
| W44-21 | |
| W73-3 |
