Beaver projection
Sat, Oct 17, 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field · 65° · wind 14 mph
Beaver vs. Vegas
| ★ BEAVER | VEGAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Score (Charlotte–Temple) | 15–37 | – |
| Spread | Temple −21.2 | No line |
| Total | 51.9 | n/a |
| Temple win chance | 91% | – |
The call
Beaver’s Pick
Waiting on the Vegas line
How Beaver sees the margin
Range of likely outcomes around Temple by 21.21%
Charlotte by 14+
8%
Charlotte by 1–13
23%
Temple by 1–13
67%
Temple by 14+
No Vegas lines for this game yet.
Tale of the tape
ranks among 138 FBS teams entering this game · brighter = better of the two| Charlotte | Opponent-adjusted, vs. average FBS team | Temple |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | ||
| −0.276 #138 | Offense EPA / play | +0.018 #54 |
| +0.147 #111 | Defense EPA / play allowed | +0.148 #112 |
| −11.1% #138 | Offense success rate | −3.2% #93 |
| +10.4% #135 | Defense success rate allowed | +6.2% #113 |
| −0.331 #137 | Rushing EPA / play | +0.043 #40 |
| −0.216 #123 | Passing EPA / play | −0.039 #78 |
| +0.096 #95 | Rush defense EPA allowed | +0.106 #100 |
| +0.175 #117 | Pass defense EPA allowed | +0.148 #101 |
| −14.5 #135 | Scoring offense (pts vs avg) | −3.7 #86 |
| +15.6 #136 | Scoring defense (pts vs avg) | +4.0 #86 |
| Situational | ||
| −9.7% #131 | Passing-down success (3rd & long) | +0.1% #56 |
| +12.3% #137 | Passing-down success allowed | +5.6% #111 |
| −1.56 #132 | Points per drive | −0.42 #86 |
| +2.05 #133 | Points per drive allowed | +0.81 #87 |
| Trenches | ||
| −0.87 #136 | Line yards per rush | +0.05 #43 |
| +0.30 #103 | Line yards per rush allowed | +0.13 #73 |
| +9.6% #135 | Runs stuffed at the line | −0.5% #55 |
| +1.1% #42 | Opponent runs stuffed | −6.0% #132 |
| +4.4% #134 | Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU) | −2.8% #17 |
| −3.3% #117 | Havoc created | −4.6% #132 |
| Big plays | ||
| −0.281 #136 | Rushing explosiveness | −0.014 #73 |
| −0.132 #121 | Passing explosiveness | +0.282 #6 |
| +0.10 #42 | Open-field yards per rush | +0.18 #33 |
| −0.188 #13 | Pass explosiveness allowed | −0.059 #61 |
| Style and schedule | ||
| 47% #116 | Run rate | 62% #7 |
| −9.2 #72 | Strength of schedule (avg opponent) | −7.1 #55 |
Tendencies
season to date · against the spread and over/under use closing lines| Charlotte | Season to date | Temple |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | Record | 2-3 |
| 0-1 | Conference | 1-1 |
| 0-3 | Home | 1-2 |
| 0-2 | Away | 1-1 |
| 2-3 | Against the spread | 4-0-1 |
| 2-3 | Over/under | 2-3 |
| 17.2 / 40.6 | Points for / against | 25.8 / 24.8 |
| -23.4 | Avg margin | +1.0 |
| -9.7 | Avg vs. the spread | +5.8 |
| 51.0 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 55.6 |
Charlotte: last 5 games
| L8-59 | |
| L7-34 | |
| L21-26 | |
| L9-41 | |
| L41-43 |
Temple: last 5 games
| W17-13 | |
| L17-21 | |
| L48-49 | |
| L9-27 | |
| W38-14 |
